Sorry, I didn't think about the fact that one data drive plus two parity drives results in both parity drives holding the same information as the data drive...
But that would be even better for me, because I could just remove one drive from the three way mirror, scrap it and place it in the new pool before migrating the data.
Thats the advantage of going with 8TB drives right away, eliminating the selling of the in-between drives needed for all other vdev combinations.
Going with the 3TB Reds would allow me to integrate the two drives I have, thus effectively reducing the need to buy capacity right now.
I will re-post the four viable options for the drives and add the respective cost per TB at the bottom of this post.
The pure cost per TB is almsost identical for all WD Reds, at least when purchased from official WD dealers in Germany. (see attached screenshot)
4TB, 5TB and 6TB drives are just not as attractive, because they reach the capacity I can afford right now with few drives.
That is good from a power consumption point of view, but suboptimal with regards to in-place expansion of the vdev.
I could only realistically go that route by using the Supermicro X11SSL-CF, because it has 8 SAS ports from an LSI controller on board.
The motherboard costs only 40€ more than the X11SSH-F and its only significant limitation is the C232 chipset with its 6 Sata ports.
But 30€ here for the SuperDOM, 10€ there for Crucial RAM with compatibility guarantee... it adds up and the only place I can really save money are disks.
For that reason I was already contemplating the WD Blue drives. Since I will only use them for 6 to 12 months I should be fine, even with the 2 year warranty.
The price difference is quite large, with 3TB Blues going for 80€ and 3TB Reds for 105€.
Now to the cost per TB analysis:
5x 3TB = ~7,1TB @ 315/525€ -> ~44,5 or 74,0 €/TB - cheap, have 2 of these drives and could use them, limited growth potential <- Unlikely
6x 3TB = ~9,4TB @ 420/630€ -> ~44,5 or 67,0 €/TB - moderate price, but a lot more space, 2 drives on hand, better growth potential <- Maybe
7x 3TB = ~11,8TB @ 525/735€ -> ~44,5 or 62,3 €/TB - expensive, SuperDOM acrobatics, 2 drives on hand, potential to grow very large <- Maybe
3x 8TB = ~6,3TB @ 820/960€ -> ~130,2 or 152,4€/TB - very expensive, could add second 3x8 pool without scrapping the first (but overhead), no selling of disks later <-Maybe
(The two prices per configuration are with and without using the two existing 3TB Reds. For the 3TB configs I could use them, with the 8TB config I could sell them to offset the price.)
This analysis speaks very clearly in favor of the 3TB drives right now and that is the way I am leaning as well.
What is being obfuscated through this method is the advantage of not having to sell used disks later.
The 8TB Reds cost 320€ a piece (40€/TB), so I would be spending two thirds of the money on parity due to the low number of large disks.
With the 3TB drives and when using my two existing drives, I am effectively "donating" both parity drives, so the cost per TB for all options is identical in this case.
And for the scenario that ignores the two existing 3TB Reds, the cost per usable TB goes down with the number of disks, because the portion used for parity is lower in the large pool.
Now to the part that will cause some people here to think about tarring and feathering me, the WD Blues:
6x 3TB = ~9,4TB @ 370/510€ -> ~40,0 or 54,3€/TB - cheap, only two year warranty, good growth potential, lots of space right now <- Looks tempting, but unlikely
As of right now I am leaning more and more towards the 6x 3TB WD Red option. It would cost me 420€ in disks, which I could just afford.
The 7x 3TB option would be stretching the budget, but I COULD manage it if I had to. Spending 820/960€ on disks is not possible at the moment.